NFL odds Week 3: Learn how to guess Saints-Panthers

A NFC South showdown in Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season.

The New Orleans Saints make a journey to North Carolina to battle the Carolina Panthers at 1 pm ET Sunday at Financial institution of America Stadium

The Panthers enter this sport winless after one other painful loss, this time to the New York Giants. Whereas the protection held Saquon Barkely to 72 yards and sacked Daniel Jones thrice, the offense was stale. Baker Mayfield accomplished 14 of his 29 throws for 145 yards and a landing, and the Panthers offense solely transformed two of 12 third-downs. For this group to go anyplace, Mayfield goes to want to supply.

The New Orleans Saints are 1-1 after a 20-10 defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 2. Jameis Winston threw three interceptions within the fourth quarter and that was all she wrote. Winston continues to go for the large play somewhat than brief, simple routes and as he goes so goes the Saints. Hopefully this weekend certainly one of these quarterbacks can produce for a full 4 quarters.

Here is the whole lot you want from a betting perspective for the Saints-Panthers sport, from the purpose unfold, moneyline, whole over/below and knowledgeable perception (odds through FOX Wager):

RELATED: Week 3 traces, odds

saints @ panthers (1 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX)

Level unfold: New Orleans -3 (Saints favored to win by greater than 3 factors, in any other case Panthers cowl)
Moneyline: New Orleans -162 favorites to win (guess $10 to win $16.17 whole); Panthers +125 underdogs to win (guess $10 to win $22.50 whole)
Whole scoring over/below: 40.5 factors scored by each groups mixed

Baker’s Panthers begin season at 0-2, time to panic? | THE CARTON SHOW

There have been a whole lot of expectations for a number of groups within the NFL for the beginning of the season, however one factor many weren’t anticipating have been for the Carolina Panthers to be at 0-2 by the top of Week 2.

FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst Warren Sharp:

Baker Mayfield has been blitzed on 33% of his early downs within the first three quarters, the fourth-highest blitz fee within the NFL this yr.

And he receives strain on the tenth highest fee (36%).

On early downs, when Mayfield is blitzed, he ranks No. 20 in EPA/att (-0.09).

However when he is not blitzed, he ranks eleventh in EPA/att (+0.11).

And Baker has lengthy since had huge splits vs. strain and with out strain. Since 2020:

Vs strain: -0.62 EPA/att, 25% success, 5.8 YPA

No strain: +0.27 EPA/att, 51% success, 7.6 YPA

In contrast to years previous, this Saints protection merely is not getting strain. Nor are they blitzing.

New Orleans is blitzing on simply 8% of QB drops, which ranks thirtieth.

And so they’re getting strain at a 9.9% fee, which ranks useless final within the NFL (avg = 30%).

Final week, the Bucs performed with out a number of offensive line starters and a number of beginning receivers. And the Saints, taking part in at residence, nonetheless acquired strain on the lowest fee within the NFL.

If this holds and the Saints battle to get strain on Mayfield and blitz as occasionally as they’ve been, will probably be an enormous change for Mayfield.

In Week 1, Mayfield performed his previous group, the Browns.

They rank No. 6 in strain fee this season, recording strain on 36% of opponent dropbacks, and have a league-average blitz fee.

In Week 2, Mayfield performed the Giants.

They rank No. 5 in blitz fee this season (37%) and file strain at a 27% fee.

Mayfield has been blitzed and pressured a ton in his first two video games with the Panthers.

Now, he is taking part in at residence in opposition to a group with the No. 32 strain fee and the No. 30 blitz fee?

This definitely is not a straightforward protection to go up in opposition to, however there’s a street to ascertain Mayfield can carry out barely higher with out strain. And if he doesn’t and struggles as soon as once more, the Panthers will host the No. 31 ranked Cardinals protection subsequent week in what needs to be his ultimate probability to both ship for the Panthers or in all probability value Matt Rhule his job as a result of the following three video games will embody the Bucs, Rams and 49ers.

Are you prepared for the NFL season? In that case, head over to FOX Wager for all of your wagers.

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