NFL odds Week 3: Roll with the Raiders and Chiefs, different greatest bets

By Jason McIntyre
FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst

How was that for the second week of NFL soccer!?

It regarded like March Insanity on the gridiron with all of the comebacks and buzzer beaters from final week. Baltimore and Oakland blew big fourth-quarter leads, the Cowboys gained an in depth one with out Dak and the New York Giants are 2-0. Are you prepared for some soccer? At this level, does the query even have to be requested?

No different sport brings the moment must-watch issue that soccer brings. On high of this late-game pleasure, it is solely three weeks into the season, and we’re already speaking about playoff implications.

The league will get actual in a short time, so let’s not work this any longer. Listed here are my greatest bets for Week 3 (with odds through FOX Beth)!

raiders @ titans (1 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX)

Name me loopy, however this looks like an early elimination recreation within the AFC playoff race. Each groups made the playoffs final 12 months, however each sit 0-2 after choking away video games within the fourth quarter — the Raiders at house vs. Arizona and the Titans at house in opposition to the Giants in Week 1.

Tennessee is an underdog at house underneath Mike Vrabel, which is normally wager, however can you’re taking this protection to carry up in opposition to Davante Adams and Darren Waller? Buffalo’s offense scored 34 factors in two and a half quarters on Monday, and the starters sat out the fourth. The Raiders might have that form of success. If Hunter Renfrow would not fumble in time beyond regulation Sunday, the Raiders are in all probability 1-1, and this unfold is -3.5.

In the case of Las Vegas, the one factor to look at for is fatigue. The Raiders have been on the sector for 78 performs in opposition to the Cardinals and now journey throughout the nation for a 1 pm kickoff.

The Titans have been gashed in Week 1 on the bottom by Saquon Barkley, so there’s an opportunity Josh Jacobs will get free for a giant recreation. And I anticipate Adams to high his 2-catch, 12-yard efficiency from final week by the tip of the primary quarter.

The Titans have regarded woefully inept in all phases of the sport by two weeks, and I am rolling with the chalk right here.

PICK: Raiders (-2.5 at FOX Guess) to win by greater than 2.5 factors

chiefs @ Colts (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)

The Colts must be the worst group within the NFL by two video games. After a tie on the highway in opposition to the Texans, they have been blanked in Jacksonville. As if issues might worsen, the 2-0 Chiefs arrive with additional relaxation, and Patrick Mahomes has by no means misplaced a recreation in a domed stadium.

It is a scary prospect getting the Chiefs monitor stars indoors, and the one probability the Colts may have is conserving Mahomes on the sideline with a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor. With Kansas Metropolis’s second-leading tackler, linebacker Willie Homosexual, suspended for 4 video games, there could possibly be possibilities to use the Chiefs on the bottom. It is unclear if third-round rookie Leo Chenal will begin in his place.

Watch out betting in opposition to groups that have been simply shutout — groups off a shutout loss are 25-9 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) the next week over the past seven seasons.

The damage report will probably be important for Indy. Matt Ryan was with out his high receiver (Michael Pittman) in Jacksonville, and their greatest defensive participant (Shaq Leonard) has but to play this season.

The look-ahead line for this was -3, however after the Colts have been shut out, it ballooned to -6.5. It will contact seven, and there will probably be buyback on the Colts.

Aspect be aware: Frank Reich could be teaching for his job on this one.

If you may get -6.5, take it, however it’s not a wager for me at -7. KC will probably be in lots of teasers, too.

PICK: Chiefs (-6.5 at FOX Guess) to win by greater than 6.5 factors

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ravens @ patriots (1 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX)

It is not typically you ring up 473 yards of offense, put up 8.8 ypp, win the turnover battle by +2, and lead by 21 factors within the fourth quarter at house … and lose.

Chalk it up as a extremely random outcome, with Baltimore defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald calling a horrible second half, leading to huge chunk performs in opposition to two good CBs, Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters.

New England doesn’t have velocity at receiver — Miami’s energy. I am shocked the full hasn’t moved as a result of the Patriots usually are not constructed to hold in shootouts. And their run protection has but to permit a landing or a 20-plus yard carry.

The Patriots’ greatest hope of stealing a Wild Card bid is scratching and clawing out low scoring, 17-14 varieties of video games the place Mac Jones would not make errors and the protection — led by edge Matthew Judon — holds groups to discipline objectives, not touchdowns.

Lamar Jackson hasn’t confronted the Patriots since Cam Newton was their QB in 2020, and in a recreation performed in a monsoon, the Ravens — who have been favored by a TD on the highway — misplaced, 23-17. Look for the same final result on this one because the Pats attempt to muck it up.

PICK: Below 43 whole factors scored by each groups mixed

Bengals @ jets (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)

This recreation is a rematch from final 12 months, when the Jets rode third-string QB Mike White to a stirring 34-31 win on Halloween. White handed for 405 yards and three TDs, together with two within the remaining 5 minutes. From a playing perspective, the Jets gained outright as 11.5-point underdogs!

Cincinnati cannot defend Joe Burrow (once more), as he has absorbed 13 sacks in two video games, and their tackles have gotten abused by TJ Watt and Micah Parsons. Consequently, the Bengals had zero explosive performs (20-plus yards) final week vs. Dallas. However, the Jets haven’t got an edge rusher of that high quality. Coach Robert Saleh should dial up blitzes, as his entrance 4 of him cannot get a lot stress (thirtieth in stress charge). So that’s one large matchup to look at on this recreation.

The Bengals have trailed by double digits within the first half of the final 4 video games courting again to final 12 months’s playoffs. Finally, Cincinnati will get it collectively… proper? That is a dialogue for one more day.

The Jets’ safeties have been atrocious, getting roasted for 3 deep scores in opposition to Lamar Jackson in Week 1. The Bengals have confronted two dangerous QBs — Cooper Rush and Mitchell Trubisky — and now they face Joe Flacco. The sport feels prefer it has shootout potential, because the Jets’ rookie talent gamers made an enormous leap from Week 1 to 2.

The whole has already climbed from 43 to 45. You missed the very best quantity, however over 45 is the decide.

PICK: Over 45 whole factors scored by each groups mixed at FOX Guess

Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports activities betting analyst, and he additionally writes concerning the NFL and NBA Draft. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared on each present on the community. In 2017, McIntyre started producing playing content material on the NFL, school soccer and NBA for FOX Sports activities. He had a playing podcast for FOX, “Coming Up Winners,” in 2018 and 2019. Earlier than arriving at FOX, he created the web site The Large Lead, which he offered in 2010.

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